Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.031881 0.036921 0.042507 0.049162 0.056876 0.065541 0.076020
2026-01-11 0.023858 0.030416 0.038414 0.048898 0.062297 0.078875 0.100989
2026-01-18 0.019357 0.026583 0.036073 0.049473 0.067949 0.092599 0.128106
2026-01-25 0.016528 0.024128 0.034738 0.050666 0.074053 0.107263 0.158249
2026-02-01 0.013706 0.021083 0.031932 0.049099 0.075701 0.115561 0.180213
2026-02-08 0.011834 0.019069 0.030215 0.048699 0.078756 0.126005 0.206508
2026-02-15 0.010329 0.017361 0.028657 0.048208 0.081421 0.135961 0.233154
2026-02-22 0.009334 0.016312 0.027966 0.048948 0.086070 0.149552 0.267501
2026-03-01 0.008332 0.015096 0.026808 0.048683 0.088874 0.160246 0.298119
2026-03-08 0.007324 0.013725 0.025188 0.047345 0.089517 0.167103 0.322552
2026-03-15 0.006467 0.012510 0.023683 0.045990 0.089892 0.173408 0.346635
2026-03-22 0.005997 0.011963 0.023335 0.046762 0.094382 0.187948 0.388634
2026-03-29 0.005495 0.011300 0.022706 0.046946 0.097826 0.201068 0.430025
2026-04-05 0.005039 0.010672 0.022072 0.047040 0.101107 0.214304 0.473631
2026-04-12 0.004688 0.010214 0.021723 0.047676 0.105600 0.230608 0.526173
2026-04-19 0.004420 0.009900 0.021631 0.048846 0.111392 0.250407 0.589323
2026-04-26 0.003961 0.009106 0.020409 0.047341 0.110971 0.256384 0.621323
2026-05-03 0.003640 0.008582 0.019719 0.046957 0.113075 0.268341 0.669236
2026-05-10 0.003346 0.008085 0.019031 0.046484 0.114893 0.279835 0.717620
2026-05-17 0.003160 0.007820 0.018846 0.047197 0.119689 0.299075 0.788306
2026-05-24 0.002930 0.007422 0.018298 0.046942 0.122021 0.312517 0.845842
2026-05-31 0.002665 0.006901 0.017389 0.045652 0.121525 0.318726 0.884933
2026-06-07 0.002425 0.006416 0.016516 0.044346 0.120816 0.324288 0.923070